If I had a dollar for every time I heard, or said myself that Strat-O-Matic is not realistic I could retire a rich man. Numerous times, we have all experienced games or seasons where players just performed "unrealistically". My stud pitcher is 5-12 with a 5.00 ERA, or my banjo hitting second baseman just hit 3 HR's in a game. But what about over the long haul?
Frank Thomas announced his retirement before the start of the 2010 season. Frank was a Mobster for his entire career. He had seasons where he outperformed his real life stats and seasons were he inexplicably sucked for my team. But overall, how did his lifetime stats compare with his Strat stats? Below are The Big Hurts lifetime stats for The Chicago Mob and in real life total stats. What do you think?
I think anyone would agree that this is very close. If I didn't put Strat or Life before each row most people would not be able to tell the difference. The only real discrepancy to me is the SF column. The difference in SB and CS is just a function of how I used Frank. And what's with that one time I sacrifice bunted with him. I must not have been lucid at the time!
Ivan Rodriguez did not retire and as of late April 2010 is hitting .400 for the Nationals! He was not protected in the expansion draft and was selected. I have an 18 year data base to compare real life with Strato. Let's look.
It looks like he suffered a bit offensively, but considering I had a pitchers park (Si 1-4) for most of his career with me, it is not surprising. Still, look at his extra base hits. And I think I hear the theme from The Twilight Zone playing when looking at his RBI's and DP's! Interesting that sac fly's is again just over half of what his real life SF's are, just like Frank Thomas. Maybe the boys at Strat-O-Matic should look into this.
Curt Schilling played his entire year with The Chicago Mob. How does he compare?
I'm not sure what to make of this. He played more games in real life due to the fact that he relieved more often early in his career and I hardly used him as such. In fact, I had drafted him as a cardless future and didn't play him until about his 3rd year in the bigs. Still, the IP's are very close. He gave up 93 more HR's than in real life. I had a pretty HR neutal park (1-8) for most of his career. He also gave up about 230 more hits in 44 more IP's. Given that, it isn't surprising that he gave up more runs in Strat than in real life. What seems very realistic to me is the W/L record. It comes to a .028 difference in the W/L percent. Overall, I have to conclude that while not as close as the hitters, Curt's Strat life was not out of line with his real life stats.
So, what does this all mean? Besides that I'm a statistics geek and should be putting my spare time to better use. I can't say. I have more players that I could compare. These are the three that I have the most data for. I have a lot of seasons of Brian Roberts, Jay Buhner, Lance Johnson, Derrek Lee, Carlos Baerga, John Smiley, Richard Dotson and more that I can't think of. We could do computer simulation replays, but I don't think it would be as accurate as physically playing the games in a league setting. The one thing I will say is that Strat-O-Matic, over time, is accurate. Remember also that a good percentage of these games were played with dice, cards and charts. There may be high and low blips, but then again, many players have one or two great seasons and a few crummy seasons over their careers. I wonder how accurate other games are over careers.
LEAGUE LEADERS FOR 1979 through 1987 GUSSOMO SEASONS PAGE 1
----BATTING AVERAGE---- --------AT BATS-------- ------RUNS SCORED------
W. Boggs ’84 JER .394 Y.Puig PCP 18 M.Cuddyer PCP 5
Brett ’81 CON .388 A.Rendon RIB 16 N.Markakis RIB 4
Kemp ’80 ElM .374 A.Eaton RIB 16 M.Adams RIB 3
Baker ’82 FRE .368 H.Kendrick RIB 16 C.Johnson PCP 3
Raines ’86 SUP .362 R.Martin RIB 15 R.Martin RIB 2
Guerrero ’86 SUP .360 A.Pagan PCP 15 J.Turner RIB 2
W.Boggs ’85 JER .351 J.Turner RIB 14 H.Kendrick RIB 2
W.Boggs ’86 SUP .344 N.Markakis RIB 14 A.Pollock PCP 2
Brett ’80 ELM .341 C.Johnson PCP 14 K.Negron PCP 2
T. Puhl ’84 SoC .339 M.Cuddyer PCP 14 OTHERS TIED WITH 1
Mattingly ’87 ITL .338 Y.Gomes PCP 14
Lansford ’82 FRE .337 R.Pena PCP 14
----------HITS--------- --------DOUBLES-------- --------TRIPLES--------
H.Kendrick RIB 7 Mattingly ’87 STL 60 *****NONE*****
Y.Gomes PCP 7 A. Oliver ’83 JER 57
J.Turner RIB 5 Whitaker ’84 CON 56
N.Markakis RIB 5 Bell ’80 SAR 54
C.Crisp PCP 5 N.Markakis RIB 1
K.Negron PCP 5 A.Eaton RIB 1
M.Adams RIB 4 H.Kendrick RIB 1
D.Lough RIB 4 C.Johnson PCP 1
C.Johnson PCP 4 A.Pagan PCP 1
M.Cuddyer PCP 4 M.Cuddyer PCP 1
OTHERS TIED WITH 3 A.Pollock PCP 1
R.Pena PCP 1
--------HOMERUNS------- -----RUNS BATTED IN---- ---------WALKS---------
M. Schmidt ’82 MAU 54 Y.Gomes PCP 6 C.Johnson PCP 3
Kingman ’83 HUM 52 H.Kendrick RIB 4 M.Cuddyer PCP 3
Kingman ’80 W.C. 51 D.Lough RIB 4 K.Negron PCP 3
M. Schmidt ’83 MAU 50 R.Martin RIB 2 J.Turner RIB 2
E.Aybar RIB 2 N.Markakis RIB 2
J.Turner RIB 2 A.Rendon RIB 2
N.Markakis RIB 2 A.Eaton RIB 2
C.Crisp PCP 2 D.Lough RIB 2
R.Pena PCP 2 C.Crisp PCP 2
OTHERS TIED WITH 1 N.Morgan PCP 2
OTHERS TIED WITH 1