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Statistical Archives

 

Strat Versus Life

by

Larry Steinberg - Manager of the Chicago Mob

If I had a dollar for every time I heard, or said myself that Strat-O-Matic is not realistic I could retire a rich man. Numerous times, we have all experienced games or seasons where players just performed "unrealistically". My stud pitcher is 5-12 with a 5.00 ERA, or my banjo hitting second baseman just hit 3 HR's in a game. But what about over the long haul?

Frank Thomas announced his retirement before the start of the 2010 season. Frank was a Mobster for his entire career. He had seasons where he outperformed his real life stats and seasons were he inexplicably sucked for my team. But overall, how did his lifetime stats compare with his Strat stats? Below are The Big Hurts lifetime stats for The Chicago Mob and in real life total stats. What do you think?

 

Frank Thomas

  G AB R H RBI 2B 3B HR BB K E SB CS HP S SF DP AVG SLG OBP
Strat 2387 8567 1522 2494 1571 518 21 530 1539 1636 68 14 8 116 1 58 211 .291 .542 .404
Life 2322 8199 1494 2468 1704 495 12 521 1667 1397 80 32 23 87 0 121 226 .301 .555 .419

 

I think anyone would agree that this is very close. If I didn't put Strat or Life before each row most people would not be able to tell the difference. The only real discrepancy to me is the SF column. The difference in SB and CS is just a function of how I used Frank. And what's with that one time I sacrifice bunted with him. I must not have been lucid at the time!

Ivan Rodriguez did not retire and as of late April 2010 is hitting .400 for the Nationals! He was not protected in the expansion draft and was selected. I have an 18 year data base to compare real life with Strato. Let's look.

 

Ivan Rodriguez

  G AB R H RBI 2B 3B HR BB K E SB CS HP S SF DP AVG SLG OBP
Strat 2512 9044 1107 2472 1264 516 48 295 423 1480 103 113 31 47 51 41 307 .273 .439 .308
Life 2388 9070 1308 2711 1264 547 50 305 487 1380 136 125 61 56 27 72 306 .299 .471 .336

 

It looks like he suffered a bit offensively, but considering I had a pitchers park (Si 1-4) for most of his career with me, it is not surprising. Still, look at his extra base hits. And I think I hear the theme from The Twilight Zone playing when looking at his RBI's and DP's! Interesting that sac fly's is again just over half of what his real life SF's are, just like Frank Thomas. Maybe the boys at Strat-O-Matic should look into this.

Curt Schilling played his entire year with The Chicago Mob. How does he compare?

 

Curt Schilling

  G CG SH IP H BB K R ER HR W L PCT S ERA
Strat 488 113 21 3304.67 3229 765 3706 1534 1410 440 203 154 .569 1 3.84
Life 569 83 20 3261.0 2998 711 3116 1318 1253 347 216 146 .597 22 3.46

 

I'm not sure what to make of this. He played more games in real life due to the fact that he relieved more often early in his career and I hardly used him as such. In fact, I had drafted him as a cardless future and didn't play him until about his 3rd year in the bigs. Still, the IP's are very close. He gave up 93 more HR's than in real life. I had a pretty HR neutal park (1-8) for most of his career. He also gave up about 230 more hits in 44 more IP's. Given that, it isn't surprising that he gave up more runs in Strat than in real life. What seems very realistic to me is the W/L record. It comes to a .028 difference in the W/L percent. Overall, I have to conclude that while not as close as the hitters, Curt's Strat life was not out of line with his real life stats.

So, what does this all mean? Besides that I'm a statistics geek and should be putting my spare time to better use. I can't say. I have more players that I could compare. These are the three that I have the most data for. I have a lot of seasons of Brian Roberts, Jay Buhner, Lance Johnson, Derrek Lee, Carlos Baerga, John Smiley, Richard Dotson and more that I can't think of. We could do computer simulation replays, but I don't think it would be as accurate as physically playing the games in a league setting. The one thing I will say is that Strat-O-Matic, over time, is accurate. Remember also that a good percentage of these games were played with dice, cards and charts. There may be high and low blips, but then again, many players have one or two great seasons and a few crummy seasons over their careers. I wonder how accurate other games are over careers.

 

 

 

LEAGUE LEADERS FOR 1979 through 1987 GUSSOMO SEASONS                              PAGE 1

 

 

 

 ----BATTING AVERAGE----   --------AT BATS--------   ------RUNS SCORED------ 

 

 W. Boggs  ’84 JER  .394   Y.Puig        PCP    18   M.Cuddyer     PCP     5  

 

 Brett     ’81 CON  .388   A.Rendon      RIB    16   N.Markakis    RIB     4  

 

 Kemp      ’80 ElM  .374   A.Eaton       RIB    16   M.Adams       RIB     3  

 

 Baker     ’82 FRE  .368   H.Kendrick    RIB    16   C.Johnson     PCP     3  

 

 Raines    ’86 SUP  .362   R.Martin      RIB    15   R.Martin      RIB     2  

 

 Guerrero  ’86 SUP  .360   A.Pagan       PCP    15   J.Turner      RIB     2  

 

 W.Boggs   ’85 JER  .351   J.Turner      RIB    14   H.Kendrick    RIB     2  

 

 W.Boggs   ’86 SUP  .344   N.Markakis    RIB    14   A.Pollock     PCP     2  

 

 Brett     ’80 ELM  .341   C.Johnson     PCP    14   K.Negron      PCP     2  

 

 T. Puhl   ’84 SoC  .339   M.Cuddyer     PCP    14   OTHERS TIED WITH      1  

 

 Mattingly ’87 ITL  .338   Y.Gomes       PCP    14                            

 

 Lansford  ’82 FRE  .337   R.Pena        PCP    14                            

 

 

 

 ----------HITS---------   --------DOUBLES--------   --------TRIPLES-------- 

 

 H.Kendrick    RIB     7   Mattingly   ’87 STL  60        *****NONE*****      

 

 Y.Gomes       PCP     7   A. Oliver   ’83 JER  57                              

 

 J.Turner      RIB     5   Whitaker    ’84 CON  56                            

 

 N.Markakis    RIB     5   Bell        ’80 SAR  54                             

 

 C.Crisp       PCP     5   N.Markakis    RIB     1                            

 

 K.Negron      PCP     5   A.Eaton       RIB     1                            

 

 M.Adams       RIB     4   H.Kendrick    RIB     1                            

 

 D.Lough       RIB     4   C.Johnson     PCP     1                            

 

 C.Johnson     PCP     4   A.Pagan       PCP     1                            

 

 M.Cuddyer     PCP     4   M.Cuddyer     PCP     1                            

 

 OTHERS TIED WITH      3   A.Pollock     PCP     1                            

 

                           R.Pena        PCP     1                            

 

 

 

 --------HOMERUNS-------   -----RUNS BATTED IN----   ---------WALKS--------- 

 

 M. Schmidt  ’82 MAU  54   Y.Gomes       PCP     6   C.Johnson     PCP     3  

 

 Kingman     ’83 HUM  52   H.Kendrick    RIB     4   M.Cuddyer     PCP     3  

 

 Kingman     ’80 W.C. 51   D.Lough       RIB     4   K.Negron      PCP     3  

 

 M. Schmidt  ’83 MAU  50   R.Martin      RIB     2   J.Turner      RIB     2  

 

                           E.Aybar       RIB     2   N.Markakis    RIB     2  

 

                           J.Turner      RIB     2   A.Rendon      RIB     2  

 

                           N.Markakis    RIB     2   A.Eaton       RIB     2  

 

                           C.Crisp       PCP     2   D.Lough       RIB     2  

 

                           R.Pena        PCP     2   C.Crisp       PCP     2  

 

                           OTHERS TIED WITH      1   N.Morgan      PCP     2  

 

                                                     OTHERS TIED WITH      1